Following is an economic
overview for the week May 20 - May 24, 2013.
(All times EST)
Tuesday, May 21
Japanese Monetary
Policy Statement (tentative):
Bank of Japan will
publish its interest rate decision, monetary policy for June and its outlook
for the Japanese economy. In the past several weeks the Japanese yen has
tumbled down against the US dollar and Euro. If Bank of Japan expands its
current asset purchase program, this could drag down the Yen even further.
04:30 — Great Britain
Consumer Price Index (CPI):
The report may affect the
direction of the British Pound. In the report for March 2013, the CPI remained
unchanged at an annual rate of 2.8%.
Wednesday, May 22
08:30 — Canada Core
Retail Sales:
This report will refer to
retails sales in Canada as of March. It may affect the USD/CAD currencies pair,
which is strongly linked with commodities rates. In the report for February
2013, retails sales increased by 0.7%.
10:00 — U.S. Existing
Home Sales:
The report will indicate
the shifts in U.S. existing home sales for April 2013. In the report for March
2013, the number of homes sold slightly declined to a seasonally adjusted
annual rate of 4.92 million houses. If this trend continues, it may add downward
pressure to the U.S. dollar.
10:00 — Fed Chairman
Bernanke Testifies:
Bernanke will testify
before the Joint Economic Committee, U.S. Congress. The title of the speech is
"Economic Outlook". Bernanke's testimony could stir up the markets,
particularly the precious metals markets.
10:30 — Crude Oil
Inventories:
The EIA (Energy
Information Administration) will publish its weekly update on U.S. crude oil
inventories for the week ending on May 17. In the recent update for May 10,
crude oil inventories increased by 2.6 million barrels to reach 1798.3 million
barrels.
14:00 — FOMC Meeting
Minutes:
Following the April/May
FOMC meeting, the Fed left its monetary policy unchanged, this had little
effect on the markets. If the minutes reveal the Fed's intentions to consider
easing down its asset purchase program in the next several months, this could
drag down precious metals prices and impact the stock markets.
Thursday, May 23
03:30 — German Flash
Manufacturing PMI:
This report serves as an
indicator to the economic changes of the Euro Zone's leading economies'
manufacturing conditions and may impact Euro/USD currency pair and consequently
commodities prices. In the monthly report for April 2013, the German PMI
declined to 47.9 indicating that manufacturing conditions were shrinking at a
faster pace.
04:30 — Second Estimate
GDP (q/q):
This report will present
the second estimate of the quarterly growth rate of the Great Britain economy
during the first quarter of 2013. In the third quarter the British economy
contracted by 0.3%.
08:30 — U.S.
Unemployment Claims:
Weekly report will refer
to the changes in the initial jobless claims for the week ending on May 11. In
the previous report the jobless claims rose by 32K to reach 360K; this
forthcoming weekly report may affect the path of U.S dollar and consequently
commodities and stocks markets.
10:00 — New Home Sales:
The report will give
details about new home sales in U.S. for April 2013. In the March report, new
homes sales rose to an annual rate of 417,000 — a 1.4% gain (month over month).
If home sales continue to rise, it may indicate a sign of a recovery in the
U.S. real estate market, which may also affect the U.S. dollar.
10:30 — Natural Gas
Storage:
Weekly report of the U.S.
natural gas market will refer to latest developments in natural gas production,
storage, consumption and prices as of May 17. In last report, natural gas
storage rose by 99 billion cubic feet to 1964 billion cubic feet.
15:30 — ECB President
Speaks:
Mario Draghi will give a
speech at an event organized by Lord Mayor, in London; the title of the speech
is "The Future of Europe in the Global Economy". If Draghi provides
some insight behind the future steps of the ECB's monetary policy, this speech
could affect the Euro.
Friday, May 24
08:30 — Core Durable
Goods Orders:
This report will refer to
the changes in U.S. orders of durable goods in the manufacturing sector for
April 2013. This monthly update may indirectly indicate the developments in
U.S. demand for commodities such as oil and gas. As of March 2013, new orders
of manufactured durable goods decreased to $216.3 billion. If this report
presents another drop in new orders, it could pull down the US dollar and
commodities prices.
No comments:
Post a Comment