(Reuters) - The #euro declined to its lowest level against the dollar in six weeks on Wednesday as data showing an unexpectedly large contraction of the euro zone #economy raised expectations for more monetary easing by the European Central #Bank.
The dollar again rose to a 4-1/2-year high against the yen
as investors debated the outlook and policies affecting the U.S. economy against
those affecting Japan, though it pared gains midway through the New York session
to trade flat and remained there for the New York trading
While it has been the yen that investors have focused on in
recent days, the euro dominated on Wednesday as it fell for a fifth straight
session against the greenback. Data showed Germany's #economy crept back into
growth at the start of the year, but not by enough to stop the overall euro zone
economy from contracting for a sixth straight quarter. France, meanwhile, slid
By contrast, the United States is showing signs of a
recovery, underpinning expectations that the Federal Reserve may wind down its
asset-purchasing program by the end of the year.
The dollar briefly pared
gains after data showed manufacturing activity in New York state contracted
unexpectedly in May as new orders and shipments of finished goods fell, but that
was not enough to deflect the overall trend.
Inflation data showed U.S.
producer prices recording their largest drop in three years in April, pointing
to weak inflation pressures that should give the Fed latitude to keep monetary
policy very accommodative.
"The U.S. economy appears to be improving,
albeit slowly, while the euro zone GDP data overnight reinforced expectations of
additional easing from the ECB, either through lower interest rates or through
nonstandard measures such as negative deposit rates," said Omer Esiner, chief
market analyst at Commonwealth Foreign Exchange in Washington, D.C.
contrasts with a growing notion that the Fed is inching closer to an exit
strategy," he said.
The euro fell as low as $1.2842, its lowest since
April 4, and last traded down 0.3 percent against the dollar at $1.2879 .
Against the yen, the euro last traded at 131.82 yen , down 0.4 percent on the
European Central Bank officials have said they could ease monetary
policy further, and perhaps even take the deposit rate - the level at which
banks park their surplus cash with the central bank - below zero if the economy
A cut in the deposit rate would make holding euros unattractive
and could lead to a broad selloff.
Concerns about the euro zone's
recession trumped positive news out of Greece, with 10-year Greek government
bond yields tumbling to their lowest in nearly three years, one day after Fitch
upgraded the country's sovereign credit ratings.
International Monetary Fund's executive board approved a $1.3 billion,
three-year loan to Cyprus on Wednesday, part of a larger international bailout
to help the Mediterranean country avoid defaulting on its debt..
RISES VERSUS YEN
The #dollar earlier in the global session rose as high as
102.76 #yen on #Reuters trading platform, its highest since October 2008 and the
fifth rise in as many days. But dollar gains were pared during the North
American session on falling U.S. #Treasury bond yields. #Yields move inversely to
The dollar last traded at 102.35 yen, little changed on the day,
according to Reuters data.
Dollar/yen "is a one-way trade and no one
knows what to do," said George Dowd, head of the foreign exchange desk at
Newedge USA LLC in Chicago. "It's difficult to buy at 102.50 but if you don't
buy you miss it. There has been no pullback since late March."
is now up 18.1 percent for the year against the yen. Though there are seven
months until the year closes, if gains were to hold at this level it would be
the best year since 1979 when the dollar rose 23.68 percent against the
Some $4.92 billion in euros changed hands on Wednesday on Reuters
Dealing and $3.23 billion in yen.